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Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR)

Given kk time series x1,โ€ฆ,xtx_1, \ldots, x_t with xtโˆˆRkx_t \in \mathbb{R}^k, a pp-th order vector autoregressive model (denoted VAR(pp)) generalizes the univariate AR model. It models the output as linear functions of the input series xx:

xt=โˆ‘i=1pAixtโˆ’i+etx_t = \sum_{i=1}^p A_i x_{t-i} + e_t

where AiโˆˆRkร—kA_i \in \mathbb{R}^{k{\times}k} is a kร—kk{\times}k matrix. The series {et}\{e_t\} can represent either a controlled external input or noise.